Stress-test a decision

Best with Claude Opus or GPT-5

Five lenses on a choice before you commit to it.

Updated Jul 26, 2026

I need to decide: the decision and the realistic options. What's at stake: money, time, reputation. My instinct: which option you're leaning towards, honestly. Examine it through five lenses: the expected value of each option; which doors close and which stay open; what I'd regret in ten years; the strongest case against my instinct, argued properly; and the base rate — how choices like this usually turn out for people in my position. Finish with a recommendation, the condition that should make me revisit it, and what information would change your answer most.

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